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Crime The Almighty Buck Politics

FBI Seizes Polymarket CEO's Phone, Electronics After Betting Platform Predicts Trump Win (nypost.com) 110

The FBI raided Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan's Manhattan apartment, seizing his phone and electronic devices. A source close to the matter told The New York Post it was politically motivated due to Polymarket's successful prediction of Trump's election win. It's "grand political theater at its worst," the source said. "They could have asked his lawyer for any of these things. Instead, they staged a so-called raid so they can leak it to the media and use it for obvious political reasons."

Although no charges were filed, the raid has sparked controversy, with speculation of political retribution and concerns over potential market manipulation, as Polymarket faces scrutiny both in the U.S. and from French regulators. The New York Post reports: Coplan was not arrested and has not been charged, a Polymarket spokesperson told The Post on Wednesday evening. "Polymarket is a fully transparent prediction market that helps everyday people better understand the events that matter most to them, including elections," the rep said. "We charge no fees, take no trading positions, and allow observers from around the world to analyze all market data as a public good."

Coplan posted on X after his run-in with the feds: "New phone, who dis?" Polymarket does not allow trading in the US, though bettors can bypass the ban by accessing the site through VPN. The FBI's investigation comes a week after Coplan said Polymarket is planning to return to the US. [...] In 2022, the online gambling platform was forced to pause its trading in the US and pay a $1.4 million penalty to settle charges with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission that it had failed to register with the agency. [In France, regulators are investigating Polymarket's compliance with national gambling laws, with concerns about unauthorized gambling activities within the country.]
A Fortune report published a week before the election found widespread evidence of wash-trading on Polymarket. "Polymarket's Terms of Use expressly prohibit market manipulation," a Polymarket spokesperson told Fortune in a statement.

FBI Seizes Polymarket CEO's Phone, Electronics After Betting Platform Predicts Trump Win

Comments Filter:
  • by rsilvergun ( 571051 ) on Wednesday November 13, 2024 @08:07PM (#64944097)
    Because the first thing they're going to do is delete any incriminating evidence. That's just common sense. And this has absolutely nothing to do with the election. But making it about the election will get a whole bunch of clicks and excitement.
    • by Powercntrl ( 458442 ) on Wednesday November 13, 2024 @08:41PM (#64944153) Homepage

      Actually, common sense would be that if your business is doing something that's illegal in the United States, you shouldn't be in the United States. Ideally, he wouldn't be in a country with an extradition treaty either, although those don't typically tend to be the nicest places to live.

      • It's that people are stupid. Successful people are stupid. Everyone is fucking stupid. Including me. We are all fucking stupid and we do stupid things all the time thinking we can get away with it. Some of us get by on survivor bias and some of us don't.

        This is why humanity needs to be a social species. We are dumb as a bag of rocks and we all need to work together to cover up each other's shortcomings and stupidity.

        Unfortunately we've become obsessed with individuality lately and this sort of rugge
        • Careful what you wish for. Stupid people getting together is also how you get Nazis and the USSR.

          Globalization and technological advancement won't remove the witch burners, it simply allows them to operate at a bigger scale, that's all.

          • Trump is talking about building concentration camps. That's a triggering phrase for his supporters but it's just a statement of fact.

            He won't be able to deport all those immigrants. So he's going to either turn them into death camps like the Nazis did or start leasing them out as slaves like Alabama does with it's prisoners.

            If you think you're having a hard time competing with illegal immigrants now wait until they are literal actual slaves.
  • by Dru Nemeton ( 4964417 ) on Wednesday November 13, 2024 @08:10PM (#64944103)
    The charges stem from illegal betting, and have nothing to do with the election per se (although that site was heavily promoted on Twitter). Sure it was part of the betting, but it could have also been who Taylor Swift is going to marry. Illegal betting is illegal regardless of what's being bet upon.

    Leave it to the rag called "NY Post" to create a sensationall headline for a nothingburger story.
    • The charges stem from illegal betting, and have nothing to do with the election per se

      Illegal betting would be unlikely to interest the FBI; that would be a state crime, not a federal one.

      But the article said there was "widespread evidence of wash-trading on Polymarket." So, the purported malfeasance that the FBI was looking into was probably money laundering.

      ("wash trading" [investopedia.com] would be when you buy and sell at the same time, so the transaction cancels out. Wash trades never make economic sense, but if you report only the income, not the expense, money that you got illegally can look like legal

      • ...thinking about it a little more, the other reason you'd do wash trading is to manipulate the market-- buy a thousand shares at a penny, sell them to yourself for a dime, and you've pumped the price so you can dump other shares and profit. So that could be what the FBI was looking for.

        That would also be a federal crime.

        • You cant alter the market by selling your own things to yourself, for any price.

          In this case, you cant sell to yourself even if you wanted to. You buy and sell through the market, not through hand selected otherfolk.

          Its like thinking you can repeated sell yourself your own iPhone for $MAGICNUMBER and somehow that will effect the price other people buy and sell iPhones for. They dont know or care that you did it, dumbfuck.
          • You cant alter the market by selling your own things to yourself, for any price.

            You apparently don't know how stock markets work.

            Only a trivial effect unless the trading volume is relatively low, of course. And you lose the trading fee. But if you happen to own the exchange, that comes back to you too.

          • What do you think the price of a stock is?

            Do you think some panel of experts decides what a share of TSLA will be worth today?

            Or might it be whatever the price was of the most recent trade of that stock - you know by people selling them.

      • The FBI has long taken an interest in online gambling [fbi.gov].

        I assume the pile of money piques their interest more than the crime itself.
    • Re: (Score:1, Troll)

      The charges stem from illegal betting, and have nothing to do with the election per se (although that site was heavily promoted on Twitter). Sure it was part of the betting, but it could have also been who Taylor Swift is going to marry. Illegal betting is illegal regardless of what's being bet upon.

      What charges would those be?

      "Coplan was not arrested and has not been charged, a Polymarket spokesperson told The Post on Wednesday evening."

      In fact the nature of the betting matters very much for whether it is legal. A federal court had ruled in September [axios.com] that prediction markets outside the scope of commodities (such as for elections) could not be regulated under the delegated authority of the CFTC.

      Polymarket is also not based in the US and - unless they changed recently based on that ruling - has geobloc

      • Re: (Score:3, Interesting)

        And a reflexive dismissal is probably not warranted given we just got confirmation from FEMA [fema.gov] that one of their directors ordered relief efforts to avoid homes with Trump signs (and that director is now claiming that she was just following standard operating procedure).

        A lot of this post was good.
        But then this happened.

        The woman in question was not a director. She was an Emergency Management Specialist.
        Further, she was ratted out practically immediately by the crews that the memo was issued to.
        She is now claiming that she was just doing what everyone else was doing, and yet... somehow... no other crews have blown the whistle about this?

        Reflexive dismissals may be wrong, but you have demonstrated a pretty surprising lack of critical thinking in the evaluation of thi

    • Leave it to the rag called "NY Post" to create a sensationall headline for a nothingburger story.

      Yes, this is absolutely true. The New York Post is a frankly partisan newspaper; they're very explicit about the fact that they represent a certain political view, there's no pretense of "objectivity" with them. Their headlines, in particular, are never written in neutral language.

      I almost have to admire the headline they wrote here; it manages to be 100% factually accurate (the FBI raid did in fact take place after they predicted Trump's win), but at the same time, it's 100% misleading (since it suggests

  • by Coopjust ( 872796 ) on Wednesday November 13, 2024 @08:39PM (#64944149)
    Polymarket deals in betting in US regulated markets, including betting amounts. Polymarket deals in crypto and never registered with identification information, betting limits, reporting, etc. to have US citizens betting. They knew this was almost certainly illegal and halted offering betting to US citizens in the US while allowing crypto bets regardless on theoretical ignorance of the source.

    Now they get raided for allowing US citizens to bet in an unregulated market and cry foul about how it's political persecution before Trump takes office (after saying they'd allow US citizens back in when Trump takes office [cnbc.com]).

    You can argue over whether or not such betting should be regulated. They fucked around and they found out, and judging by this raid, they almost certainly knew that US citizens were betting contrary to the law on Polymarket, and the FBI was aware of this and took the cell phone as evidence under probable cause/warrant.

    Either Polymarket is vindicated or it isn't, they will have their day in court.
    • No CEO would actually use his own phone given the obvious . He would have his lawyers and cut-outs doing stuff and demand not to know anything and taking dementia drugs. For betting it is nothing electronic or on paper nowadays. USA, sure wants to kill off betting, or scare off others. It is all about appearances and deniability. As for the prediction being more accurate, punters include all factors, including misdirection and sample sizes. However this pans out, younger crypto set will not accept geo-fenc
    • I recently visited my broker's (IB) site and they're promoting a new service "Trade Your Predictions on Political, Economic, and Climate Events".
      Sounds exactly like what Polymarket is doing, I wonder what the difference is, other than potentially the crypto.

  • They found the reason Trump won and swatted em'. Geniuses...
  • by Sebby ( 238625 ) on Wednesday November 13, 2024 @08:43PM (#64944163)

    The FBI raided Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan's Manhattan apartment, seizing his phone and electronic devices.

    After getting the election results right, you'd think he'd have been ready for this.

    • by mysidia ( 191772 )

      you'd think he'd have been ready for this.

      Maybe he was? The news report says that he was raided Not that they found anything on him.

      It's not like a CEO can hide from the FBI or prevent a raid if they're investigating you.

    • It's just like how the Psychic Friends didn't see their bankruptcy coming!

  • to not do shady shit for all to see in the first place. Cuz then any time you *do* need to take in some high profile suspect, there's no record of you having done politically motivated shit in the past that people can point to to diminish your credibility.

    This is known as "maintaining public trust." And it is a continual effort. Too many people in to many positions of authority in too many important institutions seem to treat public trust as a license rather than as a responsibility.

    This is almost always a

  • And the criminal scumbags running the government know that full well.
  • Seriously we're posting NY Post stories now? What next? Daily Mail? Oh fuck why don't we just sell the platform to Alex Jones while we're at it.

    This garbage does not belong here, regardless if it is right or not. NY Post has no business being on Slashdot anywhere other than -1 Troll comments where it belongs. Find a decent source or don't post.

  • by cob666 ( 656740 ) on Thursday November 14, 2024 @07:52AM (#64945023)
    I think it's hilarious that anyone on the right is crying about political retribution when their frightful leader has been bragging about doing just that as soon as he's sworn in. The entire US political system is like a Far Side comic strip these days.
    • Could you explain the humor to me? The Republican playbook seems to be to falsely accuse Democrats of whatever atrocities they themselves are planning in hopes of convincing voters that both sides are equally bad so you might as well vote for whoever is better at making false promises of lower grocery prices. This seems to work shockingly well election after election even though grocery prices have never gone down. Part of the reason is, of course, that the Democrats insist on continuing to champion for

Were there fewer fools, knaves would starve. - Anonymous

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