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Politics

2024 is the Biggest Election Year in History 392

Economist, in an interactive post: In 2024, countries with more than half the world's population -- over four billion people -- will send their citizens to the polls. But many elections are not fully free and fair. Some of these will have no meaningful influence on governments. In the most democratic countries, such as Britain, elections will decide the next government or cause a substantial change in policy. In Russia, one of the least democratic, the vote is very unlikely to weaken Vladimir Putin's grip on power.

For countries in between, such as India or the United States, elections still matter, and may even be free and fair. But other aspects of democracy, such as participation or governance, have weaknesses. Some places, such as Brazil and Turkey, will not hold general elections in 2024 but have local or municipal elections in which the whole country will participate. Similarly, the European Union's 27 member states will elect the bloc's next parliament. More people will vote in 2024 than in any previous year. But this great march to the ballot box does not necessarily mean an explosion of democracy.
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2024 is the Biggest Election Year in History

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  • by Errol backfiring ( 1280012 ) on Tuesday November 28, 2023 @09:06AM (#64037813) Journal
    If you go the extra mile, the US is between the UK and Russia.
    • by AmiMoJo ( 196126 ) on Tuesday November 28, 2023 @09:22AM (#64037875) Homepage Journal

      The UK's election next year is a joke. The Tories are a shambles, but Labour are basically just Tory Lite, hopefully a little more competent. Voters have very little choice in terms of policies or political philosophies, and our First Past The Post system ensures that most people's views will be ignored.

      • by Bruce66423 ( 1678196 ) on Tuesday November 28, 2023 @09:36AM (#64037935)

        We were offered a real alternative with that nice JC, but the public wasn't impressed. Consider what would have happened if Corbyn had been in power when the Ukraine invasion had occurred, given his expressed opinions on the matter since?

        The benefit of the FPTP system is being seen in the fact that it gives the Muslim voters and anti-democratic groups on the left and the right nowhere to go when the big parties have the courage to ignore their special pleadings. The alternative is to be seen in Germany, where the AfD and the Left are making it ever harder for the establishment to keep a respectable course. Meanwhile in Spain the Socialists have retained office by giving the Catalan seditionists pardons, something they promised not to do.

        My preferred solution is to have the Prime Minister elected by a vote of the House - but then for them not to be removed by anything except a 'constructive' vote of no confidence, where an alternative candidate is voted into place instead. To allow this to happen the ability to force through a budget that passes without such a vote is necessary. The effect is to prevent small parties getting special privileges as the price of their support for the executive. Oh and a three year cycle - as in Australia and New Zealand - rather than Europe's five or America's four, would keep the politicians on a shorter leash.

      • by skam240 ( 789197 )

        The NHS will probably get proper funding again at least.

        • Re: (Score:2, Troll)

          by AmiMoJo ( 196126 )

          Maybe, but Labour are already saying that there is no money for their flagship Green New Deal or whatever they call it.

          It's BS of course, they are simply making a choice not to tax the wealthy and make multinational businesses pay their fair share.

          • by skam240 ( 789197 )

            If I remember correctly you're a Brit so you very likely have more insite here than me but one of the absolute core platform goals of Labour right now is spending more on the NHS. Seems to me if they fail to deliver on this they won't stay in power long and I would think they would know that. Increasing spending is also a very real way for them to improve British quality of life that will be felt by most folks which is absolute gold for winning voters in a democracy.

            As I said though, you likely have more ex

      • Yup. Ballot papers need to have a "none of the above" option. If that gets the majority vote then the sitting MP is fired and no replacement can be made until the next general election. If a high enough proportion of MPs are fired then all MPs are fired and parliament is totally dissolved until the next general election. And there can't be a general election for another 4 years.

        Added to this abolutely anyone whatsoever who wants to stand for parliament should be able to do so without a fee.

        "Democracy"

        • Yup. Ballot papers need to have a "none of the above" option. If that gets the majority vote then the sitting MP is fired and no replacement can be made until the next general election. If a high enough proportion of MPs are fired then all MPs are fired and parliament is totally dissolved until the next general election. And there can't be a general election for another 4 years.

          Added to this abolutely anyone whatsoever who wants to stand for parliament should be able to do so without a fee.

          "Democracy" in the UK is a corrupt, broken mess.

          Here in the states, there's some minor squabbling over which direction to go by the riff-raff that have nothing to do with the rules, and the ruling classes doing their best to ignore both suggestions.

          Ranked choice on the ballot is the number one choice of those that seem to care. The other is much more insane sounding, but much more rational in the long-run. A vote, like you suggest, of "none of the above" would vacate the office and force a re-up election with all new candidates. Anyone previously running

          • Anyone previously running is out on their keister and buh-bye to the life-long congress-critter. We need the ancient mofos out like decades ago.

            All such proposals amount to giving a person living in one place a voice in who gets elected from other places.
            It's none of my business if the voters of Wyoming want to keep sending the same senator to Washington again and again, because I don't live in Wyoming.
            We're supposed to be respecting the voters' choice.

            • Anyone previously running is out on their keister and buh-bye to the life-long congress-critter. We need the ancient mofos out like decades ago.

              All such proposals amount to giving a person living in one place a voice in who gets elected from other places.

              That particular one doesn't, but it does put qualifications on candidates ("candidates can't have run previously") and it's not clear why this qualification should be imposed, other than "this slashdot guy doesn't like the people currently in Congress."

              It's none of my business if the voters of Wyoming want to keep sending the same senator to Washington again and again, because I don't live in Wyoming.

              If the discussion was about the State legislature of Wyoming, you would have a point. However, a senator from Wyoming makes law for the entire U.S., so yes, it very much is your business what the senator from Wyoming does.

              As many people point out, the way the

          • by Geoffrey.landis ( 926948 ) on Tuesday November 28, 2023 @11:58AM (#64038417) Homepage

            Ranked choice on the ballot is the number one choice of those that seem to care.

            I am a big fan of "Approval voting [electionscience.org]", which is, delete the part of the ballot that says "vote for only one" and substitute "vote for all the candidates you like, and not for the ones you don't like."

            Sounds like a trivial change, but it has a major effect in multiparty elections, and tends toward the center of a pool, rather than a decision between extremes.

            A huge advantage of this is that it doesn't change the actual vote counting process at all, and all the existing machinery and protocols still work: just don't to the part that says "discard this ballot if more than one choice is marked," and instead just count all the votes.

            http://www.approvalvoting.org/ [approvalvoting.org]

            Another choice that's equally good is simply survey poll voting: "rank each candidate from 0 (worst) to 10 (best)" and then just add the numbers, highest number wins. I'd be happy with that, but it requires much greater changes to the voting methodology.

            (so, why approval rather than ranked choice? Well simplicity, for one, but ranked choice makes "most liked" as the first criterion in rank ordering, rather than "least disliked", while approval voting treats "most liked" versus "least disliked" equally. So, ranked choice can tend to eliminate the consensus candidate as not being the first choice of the most voters, and just take you back to the choice of extremes. Nevertheless, still a better method than plurality-takes-all*.)

            * ("Plurality-takes-all" is more often called "first past the post." I don't like that name, since it is meaningless: there is no post, so the name doesn't really make it clear what it refers to.)

    • I'm gonna call bullshit on claiming the UK is more democratic than the US, or even as democratic.

      * The US doesn't have de jure hereditary offices.

      * The US upper legislative house is directly elected rather than appointed.

      * Freedom of speech is literally the highest law in the highest document of law, while in Britain it is one many legal principles that are balanced against such things as stringent libel laws and rigorous security measures.

      * US states are much more autonomous than any subdivisio
      • A monarchy, by definition, is not really democratic, as 99.99999999999% of the population could never become head of state.

        Still, the UK didn't have Trump or January 6th. The damage on US democracy is not to be underestimated. You can't call that a real democracy when a sizeable part of the voters wrongly think that the election was stolen from Trump.

        • Comment removed based on user account deletion
        • The UK had a Nazi collaborator and insurrectionist conspirator as King in 1936. He, unlike Donald Trump, was never formally investigated for his actions, let alone criminally charged with them. The stability of the British state is not a relevant point, especially given how undemocratic the means typically are.

          I think you also misunderstand what a normal level of public ignorance and stupidity is. About a third of the population believing in sheer nonsense based on nothing but identity and ego is perf
      • Re:Go the extra mile (Score:5, Informative)

        by necro81 ( 917438 ) on Tuesday November 28, 2023 @12:40PM (#64038573) Journal

        Freedom of speech is literally the highest law in the highest document of law

        To nitpick: freedom of speech is not the highest law. Sure, it appears in the U.S. Constitution ("the highest document of law"), but it was added as an amendment - it wasn't in the original. Madison was ambivalent [wikipedia.org] about offering a Bill of Rights at all, but grudgingly promised to do so in order to get the Constitution ratified.

        Furthermore, freedom of speech isn't even the primary part of the 1st Amendment [google.com] - it's listed after the two (!) clauses on freedom of religion. And it has to share space alongside press, assembly, and petition.

        Finally, it wasn't until early/mid-20th century jurisprudence that freedom of speech as we now consider it came to be realized. Consider for a moment the Alien and Sedition Acts of 1798 [wikipedia.org], which (among other things) made it a federal crime to speak ill of the government. By any plain reading, this directly violated the 1st Amendment. But John Adams had a thin skin and Congressional backing, and there was no court case that successfully challenged it. (Even the principle of striking down laws as unconstitutional - judicial review - didn't come around until Marbury v Madison [wikipedia.org] in 1803.) Applying the 1st Amendment to state laws (the so-called incorporation doctrine [cornell.edu]) didn't come about until after the Civil War. The Supreme Court itself didn't take on a free speech case challenging federal law until WWI. That first decision (Schenck v US [wikipedia.org], regarding the Espionage Act of 1917) unanimously upheld a restriction on speech; the defendant was imprisoned for handing out leaflets opposing the draft.

        • Sure, it appears in the U.S. Constitution ("the highest document of law"), but it was added as an amendment

          Hardly relevant. The Bill of Rights is the highest law, especially because its critics considered it redundant. In other words, the main criticism was that they considered it too obvious to bother with formal codification. Basically like walking around in a t-shirt with a picture of yourself on it, or wearing the shirt of the band you're seeing. It's that fundamental to American governance and ide

  • In the US you get to pick the colors of the curtains in the White House, but the policies always stay the same
    • Canada, also. There's a bit more difference in the social agenda, but when it comes to meat and potatoes issues like corporate tax rates, energy, protection of the environment and such, they sing from the same song book.

    • by Ksevio ( 865461 )

      This is a common trope said by people in the US - usually the ones that want to vote for the Republicans but are embarrassed by their policies so they justify it by saying "both sides are the same". There are pretty clear differences between the parties such as healthcare, education, women's rights, foreign policy, immigration, etc. On all these issues there have been very policies from the two parties

      • Indeed, it's usually Republicans (and similar species of authoritarian trash) saying Republicans and Democrats are the same. It's like people who say good and evil are made-up: Somehow they always end up being evil. Nobody says good and evil aren't real and then turns out to just be a super-cool, decent person who loves everybody. And nobody says democracy is irrelevant except people whose values are incompatible with other people's freedom.
    • Another lazy suburban anarchist whose view of politics and history came from five minutes of a Noam Chomsky interview. Your opinion is fucking stupid and false.
    • by necro81 ( 917438 )
      Another counterfactual to consider: Gore wins in 2000. The September 11th attacks probably would still have happened. We'd probably still have invaded Afghanistan. But the subsequent invasion of Iraq would not have happened under Gore, because he didn't have a hard-on for Saddam, nor Cheney whispering in his ear. That was over $1 trillion dollars squandered, not to mention how many lives and incalculable loss in international stature. Gore being who he is, we probably would be farther along in decarbon
  • Here in America, every single election, or so we are told, is the biggest, bestest, most important, holy shit the world will fall apart election of all time. To the point where just this headline alone made my gag reflex send me to puke-town. I am not ready for another entire year of shouting pontification about how we're all gonna die if we don't elect the right person to this figurehead position or that figurehead position while the business leaders of the country continue to steer the entire political pr

    • Re:Gag reflex. (Score:5, Insightful)

      by skam240 ( 789197 ) on Tuesday November 28, 2023 @09:43AM (#64037965)

      To be fair, Trump did try to over turn the results of our last election which means defeating him is pretty important for the future of the country.

      • To be fair, Trump did try to over turn the results of our last election which means defeating him is pretty important for the future of the country.

        While I can't disagree with this in a reasonable context, we don't live in a reasonable world. If we did, there's zero chance we would have been forced to choose between a blowhard and a do-nothing. Twice. Turns out, "Because it's my turn" isn't a good platform to run on. Also, "Because I'm not him" is only *slightly* better.

        I wonder if we'll ever be able to vote *for* someone, rather than *against* someone?

        • by skam240 ( 789197 )

          I'm not super into Biden or anything but he got passed an infrastructure bill even Trump recognized was necessary but completely failed to deliver on and got a toned down version of Build Back Better passed all with the smallest of majorities in congress and an opposition party who would vote against their own mothers if it meant depriving the Dems of a victory. Presidents have done more but that's hardly a "do-nothing".

          This is of course assuming Trump is the blow hard but I feel like that's a safe guess.

        • I wonder if we'll ever be able to vote *for* someone, rather than *against* someone?

          Maybe if you reform your electoral system. Until then, you are pretty much stuck with bi-partism and FPTP. Not to mention the worst flaw of the US election system, the electoral college.

    • Its all fake. Whether we're talking about the divine right of kings or the will of the people, it all boils down to men with guns shaking people down. Its a mafia, and if we're extraordinarily lucky, the demands will not be too onerous.
      • You're fake. Politics is nothing more or less than people trying to cooperate, aka civilization: The exact opposite of what you claim. If it were just your paranoid fantasy of inhuman predators, they wouldn't bother with arguments, offices, or other posturing.

        Where it goes wrong is people's limited imaginations about who constitutes "us" rather than "them." Those limitations differ, so there are concentric spheres of connection, and the tensions between them produce conflict.

        Your comment is a perfe
    • "Here in America, every single election, or so we are told, is the biggest, bestest, most important, holy shit the world will fall apart election of all time."

      That's called sensationalism. It's how media gets attention among a variety of options, not a conspiracy to brainwash you. What is a conspiracy to brainwash you is when media says what you're saying: Ignoring the importance of a decision, downplaying the relevant issues while dramatizing nonsensical differences, and focusing instead on what doesn

  • by ArchieBunker ( 132337 ) on Tuesday November 28, 2023 @09:42AM (#64037953)

    The orange one is siphoning cash from the RNC. https://www.newsweek.com/repub... [newsweek.com]

    Almost like backing a life long grifter and reality tv show host was a bad idea.

  • ... previous year."

    Actually, in particular in the EU, it's not sure that really that many people will vote. Electoral participation has been pretty low there in elections for the EU parliament.

  • I'd like to be enlightened on the following aspect of how democratic the USA are.
    Let's assume that the political system works as expected (i.e. ignore that everything is decided by big $$).
    Considering that USA uses military force, spying and monopoly of global currency to enforce its laws and promote its policies worldwide, shouldn't the whole world population participate to the USA elections for it to claim being a democracy ?
    In the current situation (and again, assuming an utopia inside USA borders), it's

    • Your problems with the USA are fair, but the claim that this makes us undemocratic applies just as much (if not more) to the UK. They say "the sun never sets on the British empire." Do you think they became an empire by being nice to people? Do you think the Chinese, the Indians, the indigenous Australians and North Americans, the Egyptians, massive portions of Africa and Arabia, and even the Irish--do you think these people voted to become subjects of the British crown? Sure, some of them have gotten away.
  • In the US, the choice for top office is between two senile old corporate blow boys. In Canada, we have a much larger choice: a couple of corporate blow boys and a bunch of other candidates so unelectable the corporations aren't even interested in buying them.

    • Aww, none of them are openly bent on ending human rights or democracy much less both and Canada doesn’t even have a nuclear arsenal. I love Canadian politics, it’s a breath of fresh air and stress reliever. Don’t get me wrong, there are serious problems in Canadian politics, it’s just that they look so much cuter in comparison when the view is across the border.
  • The author clearly has no intention of being taken seriously.
    • by dargaud ( 518470 )
      Compared to many others it's pretty clear that the US could improve its democratic system: gerrymandered to death in many states, electoral college that gives a lot more importance to land than to people, blocking of elections in poor/black districts, same number of senators for WY and CA and they block whatever they don't like, senators and representatives who are downright crooks and still in place (you know who), money=speech bullshit, unelected (and very corrupt) supreme court that decides above all, et
    • by pr0nbot ( 313417 )

      People do make serious attempts to measure democracy and rank countries:

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... [wikipedia.org]

      Generally the UK and the USA are towards the top (most democratic), and generally the UK is slightly above the USA.

      But while the author may therefore be technically correct, I agree that lumping the USA and India in the same sentence suggests an equivalence that is disingenuous.

  • I wish our elections weren't turning into a form of, sad, entertainment. Fringe candidates, foaming at the mouth online comments, etc.

  • As an American it's genuinely funny to watch the media carry water for Donald Trump in a desperate bid to keep him viable as a candidate. I can list out the reasons why he shouldn't be but let's not kid ourselves, even his supporters know better at this point, they just love the guy so much he could shoot them on 5th ave and they'd find a reason to blame Hunter Biden.

    But there's billions in ad revenue at stake here, so we've all got to pretend that Trump should be allowed another term in the White House
  • old crazy guy vs. crazy old guy.

  • My choice in candidates really boils down to one thing, do you take the big donor, corporate, and dark pac money. If the answer is yes, I’ll never vote for them so much as being forced to. I make every single primary, even for school boards, and donate to the candidates that match my views because that is the time and place to be the most effective in getting quality choices that align with my views. I’ve written my representatives demanding ranked choice voting and have donated to that caus

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