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United States Government Security Politics

Pretty Clear GRU's Goal Was To Weaken a Future Clinton Presidency, Former Facebook CSO Says (zdnet.com) 345

Speaking at the TechCrunch Disrupt tech conference this week, former Facebook chief security officer Alex Stamos reflected on his time dealing with fake news and Russian intelligence interference ahead and after the 2016 US presidential election. From a report: The former Facebook security head said "it [was] pretty clear the GRU's goal was to weaken a future Hillary presidency. Putin has a [you know, it's been well-documented] like a personal antipathy towards her and believes that she was behind the protests against him in the 2012 Russian election, and so, the GRU activity was specifically focused on weakening her."

"I think it was less about actually electing Trump," Stamos added. "I find it unlikely that the Russians are better than Nate Silver at predicting elections."
What kind of attacks could we expect in the near future? Per Stamos, "Throwing an election one way or another is going to be very difficult for a foreign adversary but throwing any election into chaos is totally doable right now."
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Pretty Clear GRU's Goal Was To Weaken a Future Clinton Presidency, Former Facebook CSO Says

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  • by Zorro ( 15797 ) on Friday September 07, 2018 @10:44AM (#57269024)

    Install a weak president.

    • by ScentCone ( 795499 ) on Friday September 07, 2018 @10:58AM (#57269100)

      Read another way... Install a weak president.

      No, help to make sure a weakened president was elected. Hillary Clinton getting elected was a foregone conclusion for everyone but a statistics guy inside the Trump campaign, maybe Ann Coulter, and a few others. Every foreign government was saying it out loud, every media outlet in the US was sure of it, every academic expert was convinced of it. The Russians were taking steps to turn her taking power into something more suited to their taste: make it as awful for her as possible, making her as ineffective (at blunting Putin's aspirations) as possible. Another hint that was the case: the Russian actions altered tone, pace, and targets the moment she lost. They didn't want Trump as president, they wanted known-to-be-corrupt, feckless person like Clinton - someone whose family they had already enriched and who exhibited a taste for cashing in on Russian and similar engagement from other nasty types.

      • by alvinrod ( 889928 ) on Friday September 07, 2018 @11:27AM (#57269304)
        I don't think they wanted Clinton either. A lot of her actions as Secretary of State were quite opposed to what Russia was doing and it's likely that she would have been willing to step that up and increase U.S. intervention in Syria and the other proxy conflicts that the U.S. and Russia are engaged in. That isn't to say they liked Trump or wanted him to win. As you point out, they, like most others, were probably sure that wasn't a real possibility based on the data. I suspect that they were ambivalent about him, or perhaps they were indifferent towards him.

        I think that Trump also fits quite well into the known-to-be-corrupt, feckless category just as well as Clinton (or most other politicians for that matter) so they knew that they wouldn't have a problem dealing with Trump either. He's in real estate and has enough history prior to his foray into politics to leave them comfortable in that assessment.

        My guess is that if Clinton were elected, she would similarly beleaguered at this point in her presidency. As much as you might like to argue that the media would be on her side, they also like blood in the water.
      • by avandesande ( 143899 ) on Friday September 07, 2018 @11:29AM (#57269324) Journal
        no shit- they are getting their money back in spades over the russian meddling hysteria/trump presidency
      • by grep -v '.*' * ( 780312 ) on Friday September 07, 2018 @11:36AM (#57269370)

        they wanted known-to-be-corrupt, feckless person like Clinton

        Hey -- HEY!! Quit throwing around bad terms at people. You're going to taint feckless much worse than it really is.

      • by Anonymous Coward

        Hillary Clinton getting elected was a foregone conclusion to everyone except the millions of people who decided to vote for Trump well before he was even nominated. You know, the silent folks who work every day, who don't engage in narcissistic social media bullshit, who didn't put stickers on their cars or signs on their lawns because they didn't want their property vandalized by lawless unhinged leftists. THOSE people. The ones who matter. The ones who weren't influenced by low budget Russian Facebook

      • by Targon ( 17348 ) on Friday September 07, 2018 @12:50PM (#57269972)

        Hillary is universally hated by virtually every Republican, and disliked by a good percentage of the Democrats. Then you have those who are not in either party but tend to vote for one party over the other, and THOSE tended to dislike Hillary a lot as well. The best way to avoid foreign interference is to have candidates who people want to see as president, rather than candidates who are only seen as slightly better than the other(depending on your perspective). Clinton vs. Trump, neither one should have been allowed anywhere near the White House!

  • Clinton Meddling (Score:3, Insightful)

    by ebonum ( 830686 ) on Friday September 07, 2018 @10:50AM (#57269044)

    Fair Question: Did Clinton meddle in the Russian election?

    • Yes, but it was George Clinton. P-Funk was behind it all along.
    • Re:Clinton Meddling (Score:5, Informative)

      by KalvinB ( 205500 ) on Friday September 07, 2018 @11:30AM (#57269334) Homepage

      https://www.theguardian.com/wo... [theguardian.com]

      Yes, she did.

    • Re:Clinton Meddling (Score:4, Interesting)

      by quantaman ( 517394 ) on Friday September 07, 2018 @12:47PM (#57269946)

      Fair Question: Did Clinton meddle in the Russian election?

      There are two broad categories of states, functioning Democracies where the leaders can be booted out by the public, and countries where you're going to need a revolution to change leadership.

      I'm actually fine with a policy where you should leave the functioning Democracies as is but you're free to screw around with the other countries to make them functioning Democracies since the common thread is you're trying to make the leadership of those countries accountable to the people.

      Therefore I'll happily condemn Russian meddling in US elections but encourage US meddling in the Russian theatre productions they call elections. The US meddling in Ukraine is a bit more ambiguous, they were a semi-functioning Democracy but with a leader trying very hard to entrench himself for life. The Ukrainian revolution actually made them a lot closer to a functioning Democracy, which as it turns out was a great motive for Russia to invade them and steal some territory.

    • by Luckyo ( 1726890 )

      By the definition used by democratic party today, they didn't meddle.

      By a reasonable definition, in which Russia didn't in fact meddle in any significant way beyond the minor "divide them and make them fight" unless you're counting the whole Bezmenov issue as "Russian meddling" and give it significant weight as the primary reason for rise of the far left forces in governing structures of US, US meddled at the very least in the second Yeltsin election. It was blatantly open on that one, because Yeltsin was u

  • chaos? (Score:5, Interesting)

    by cascadingstylesheet ( 140919 ) on Friday September 07, 2018 @10:55AM (#57269072) Journal

    but throwing any election into chaos is totally doable right now."

    "Chaos"?

    First of all, we would know that how, lol? Aren't they all chaos?

    In any case, real elections are "chaos" ... in real elections there's real potential for the voters to actually choose something different, whether the elites like it or not.

    That feels like "chaos" to the people who think that only one party should rule and that any other parties are to be kept around only for appearances sake.

    • by Lucas123 ( 935744 ) on Friday September 07, 2018 @11:14AM (#57269198) Homepage

      I totally agree.

      The Russian "involvement" in the 2016 election is being overplayed. We act is if the U.S. and other nations don't try to affect the outcome of elections around the world, and that the fake news on Facebook/Twitter in our last election somehow influenced a large swatch of the electorate -- people other than died-in-the-wool conservative. It's not as if moderates were suddenly believing Pizzagate was real and Hillary Clinton and top Democratic operatives are running an underground and possibly satanic child sex ring out of a pizza restaurant in Washington D.C.

      I think it would be interesting to see the results of an objective poll or some other study showing just how much influence fake news had in the election. To date, all we have is a narrative being pushed by sore losers.

      • I don't know whether the fake news actually flipped a vote. I think I agree with you that it's unlikely it did.
        But what it did do, just based on my own observations and interactions with my more "conservative" friends and family, is convince the... dimmer... of those people that the news was true. IE, it didn't make them any more likely to vote for Trump, but it did make them more likely to think any criticism of Trump is a conspiracy to overthrow this company and turn it into the Soviet Union.

        Which I th
  • by eepok ( 545733 ) on Friday September 07, 2018 @10:55AM (#57269074) Homepage

    Was I the only one that had to look up "GRU" and "IRA Troll Farm" because neither the article nor summary explained it?

    From Wiki: The Main Directorate of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of the Russia... and still commonly known by its previous abbreviation GRU... is the foreign military intelligence agency of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation ... whose heads report directly to the president of Russia.

    The Internet Research Agency... is a Russian company, based in Saint Petersburg, engaged in online influence operations on behalf of Russian business and political interests.

    • by gDLL ( 1413289 )
      It's like saying "what's this CIA abbreviation?"........ this is why the americans get called ignorant :)
      • It's like saying "what's this CIA abbreviation?"

        Yes, it is. And I would expect a well-written news article about it to explain CIA stands for "Central Intelligence Agency" and give a short description of what it is. I may already know these things, but the article should not make such assumptions.

      • I am not American and will happily shit on them as much as any foreigner, but on an American news site one would expect people to know the American country and not the acronym of a former name of an intelligence agency whose acronym in english doesn't even make up the current or former translation.

    • Skimmed the article and still had no idea. Journalism fail at all levels. Maybe I'm old but when I see IRA I think about assholes in England planting bombs.

    • Yes, I read "IRA" as meaning either "Individual Retirement Account" or "Irish Republican Army". https://acronyms.thefreedictio... [thefreedictionary.com]
  • CSO.... (Score:3, Interesting)

    by Luthair ( 847766 ) on Friday September 07, 2018 @11:00AM (#57269106)

    Not diplomat or political scientist, meaning Stamos opinion on why Russia is about as good as yours.

    Personally I think Russia would have been sowing discord regardless Clinton, Trumps behaviour, narcissism and lack of diplomacy make him a particularly good stooge for attempting to create turmoil in western nations. See also brexit.

  • by Anonymous Coward

    Either way its THE SYSTEM that's at fault. EITHER ONE WAS DESTINED TO BE THE WORST PRESIDENT OF THE USA.

    You elect Clinton she will go onto be a pig at the trough of the military industrial complex. You elect trump he will go onto be a pig at the trough of the military industrial complex.

    Russia is unimportant to the outcome of the election. Mountains of collusion with Cambridge Analytics, Israel, Oligarchs in the USA like Robert Mercer. Facebook is subservient to the US military industrial complex now anyw

  • by DNS-and-BIND ( 461968 ) on Friday September 07, 2018 @11:13AM (#57269180) Homepage

    Remember the debates? Hillary was firm in wanting a no-fly zone in Syria. This would have led to direct conflict between USAF and Russian AF. It could have easily broken out into a big shooting war. Heck, I get the idea that a lot of people in DC (the unelected government, so-called deep state) would have greatly desired that. World War II hero and former U.S. Sen. Daniel Inouye (D-Hawaii) once observed, in a different context: "There exists a shadowy government with ... its own fundraising mechanism." [danielkino...titute.org]

    Also remember, just before the inauguration, that US armored brigade landed and the jokes wrote themselves? Obama just sent tanks into Poland, that sort of thing. They then traveled to the Russian border? That was Hillary's big stick. Plant a bunch of troops near them and then start shit in Syria. But she wasn't elected, and they just did some training and then left. Peace broke out instead.

    • by Nidi62 ( 1525137 )

      Plant a bunch of troops near them and then start shit in Syria. But she wasn't elected, and they just did some training and then left. Peace broke out instead.

      If 46,000+ dead (per Syrian Observatory for Human Rights) and 900,000 registered refugees(UNHCR) since January 2017, and 700,000 internally displaced in the first half of 2017 alone (Pew research) is "peace", I would really hate to see war.

  • Comment removed (Score:5, Insightful)

    by account_deleted ( 4530225 ) on Friday September 07, 2018 @11:13AM (#57269184)
    Comment removed based on user account deletion
    • Comment removed (Score:5, Insightful)

      by account_deleted ( 4530225 ) on Friday September 07, 2018 @11:19AM (#57269246)
      Comment removed based on user account deletion
      • Re:2 years later... (Score:4, Interesting)

        by drinkypoo ( 153816 ) <drink@hyperlogos.org> on Friday September 07, 2018 @11:48AM (#57269470) Homepage Journal

        Clinton was loved by Centrists and the Establishment Right.

        What? Centrists, sure, but the right? You're off your nut. Big Pharma loved her, centrists, and the near left, but everyone else disliked her. That's why polls showed that Sanders could beat Trump, but Clinton couldn't. The DNC chose to run Clinton when it was clear that democrat voters preferred Sanders, and that is the primary reason we have president Trump right now.

        • The DNC chose to run Clinton

          The DNC didn't choose anything. It was the feckless democratic primary voters who voted for Hillary when they really wanted Bernie because they thought she had a better chance of winning in the general among other stupid reasons.

      • by phayes ( 202222 )

        The only people that "loved" Hillary were the Democratic party establishment. Minorities that had massively voted for Obama stayed home, the American far left preferred Bernie and centrists just preferred Hillary over Trump.

      • Clinton was loved by Centrists and the Establishment Right

        Loved by RINO's and neocons, sure. Certainly not by textbook conservatives.

    • ... And there's still a ridiculous amount of derangement.

      When there is evidence of foreign interference and it's all leaning one way then it's not a matter of psychology. At this point, it's the people like you who are denying the possibility of interference by claiming other people suffer from "derangement" (and that our national security apparatus is plotting against their favored candidate, no doubt conspiring with multiple social media platforms) who are in a psychologically questionable state.

      It is ridiculous but not in the way that you believe.

    • ... And there's still a ridiculous amount of derangement.

      Definitely.

      Hilldog was a bad candidate who few outside the far left liked.

      Hilldog?

      She was a crappy candidate in the sense she sucked at campaigning. But her base wasn't the far left, it was policy wonks.

      She was caught meddling in her own party's process to boot Bernie. She tried pretending that destroying evidence on her personal email server was an innocent mistake.

      The private server was a screw up the violated department regs, but that's all.

      And for deleting emails she did exactly what she was supposed to do according to regs, turn over the emails her team deemed work related and then securely delete the server.

      The screw up was the IT guy not deleting when the original request was given, but instead deleting when the subpoena ca

    • You're regurgitating Hannity talking points, stop it.

      The "far left" (really, fuckstick?) hated Hillary bad enough to throw the election to a fucking moron over it.
      Hillary is an unremarkable center-right politician of the Third Way Democrat vein. Since you're too politically ignorant to really grasp what at's play here, just think of her as a 1950s Republican.
  • The press pushed and promoted a landslide Hillary victory and they convinced everyone. I know this will be modded down, but the Democrats are doing exactly what the Russians wanted better than the Russians could imagine.

    • by XXongo ( 3986865 )
      It's not per se that the media "promoted" a landslide Clinton victory; it's more that they assumed a landslide Clinton victory. In fact, what they did was give Donald Trump tons of free media coverage-- about five billion dollars worth, by some estimates.
      http://www.mediaquant.net/2016/11/a-media-post-mortem-on-the-2016-presidential-election/ [mediaquant.net]
      https://www.thestreet.com/story/13896916/1/donald-trump-rode-5-billion-in-free-media-to-the-white-house.html
      https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/politics/wp/2017/09/
    • If you're modded down, it will be because you're stupid, not because people don't like what your'e saying.

      The press didn't promote a landslide, the statistics favored an electoral landslide for Hillary. The error margins were concerning in the midwestern states that ultimately cost her the election, but there was a reasonable assumption that that not *every single one of those states* would fall to the R side of the error bars.
      That would be like the Cubs winning the World Series. Possible, but extremely
  • So..the Russians wanted to make sure that the US elected a president that the majority of the country would hate. Guess they can still claim "mission accomplished".
  • National turmoil (Score:5, Insightful)

    by MikeMo ( 521697 ) on Friday September 07, 2018 @12:02PM (#57269566)
    They're not only creating election turmoil, they're amplifying and exploiting the issues we have in this country. I believe they are partly to blame for all the left-right anger and hate.
    • Yes, promoting xenophobia and nationalism has been working spades for them in Ukraine, as well, from what I've read. It isn't exactly a new trick, promoting internecine conflict has been a tactic since ancient Persia and Greece.
  • Was anything released incorrect? Were the emails false, for instance? Was her insulting a sizable portion of the country Russia's doing? Was Russia behind her corrupting the DNC primary process?

    Is Russia's biggest crime, in fact, that it did the job the media might have done in past generations? Today's media was all about helping Clinton to the presidency by almost any means necessary, and let me tell you; ironically that hurt Clinton more than it helped.

    Trump just happened to be in the right place at

  • A lot of Canadian veterans succeeded in getting rid of the last PM and his MPs, and will do it again if need be.

    Of course, that's not a foreign attack on another nation, but using techniques we learned in counter-terrorism ops and our local knowledge, and it's all perfectly legal.

    You don't have to hack things to change them. Hacking is what you do when you're not connected to the systems already.

  • There was more than one goal to the Russian interference. Undermine Clinton, help Trump, sow FUD, test weaknesses that can be exploited again in the future...those are a few off the top of my head.

Byte your tongue.

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