Funny old thing, seems the same folks squealing about "voter fraud" are the ones actually trying to perpetrate voter fraud. Maybe because, if everyone's vote were actually counted, this thing would not even be close. And Trump knows that if he loses, he's going to prison for tax fraud.
Maybe because, if everyone's vote were actually counted, this thing would not even be close.
I no longer believe that. Win or lose, Trump already got well over 65 million votes. Even if he lost by a landslide, that still A LOT of support (well above his approval ratings).
Not really. All the polling information I read give it 50/50 at best to have a clear winner on Election Day. The vast majority said neither candidate would have a clear win that night, both would stall out somewhere a little over 200 points, and there'd probably be 6-10 states that were close enough to be within the margin of error on polling. That's pretty much what's happening now.
538s commentary and predictions leading up to the day were the ones saying that. It was as low as 80/20 for a while and tightened to 90/10 only the day before the election. Most of the commentary kept hammering home that Biden was likely to eventually win, but there was a good chance enough battleground states would be too close to call - especially with the absentee and mail-in voting - that there wouldn't be a clear winner that day.
So, with the way things stand tonight, it's pretty much exactly what 538 w
Unix will self-destruct in five seconds... 4... 3... 2... 1...
The dirty tricks seem to come from one side (Score:4, Insightful)
Funny old thing, seems the same folks squealing about "voter fraud" are the ones actually trying to perpetrate voter fraud. Maybe because, if everyone's vote were actually counted, this thing would not even be close. And Trump knows that if he loses, he's going to prison for tax fraud.
Re: (Score:2)
Maybe because, if everyone's vote were actually counted, this thing would not even be close.
I no longer believe that. Win or lose, Trump already got well over 65 million votes. Even if he lost by a landslide, that still A LOT of support (well above his approval ratings).
Re: (Score:2)
Sad but true. Kinda casts doubt on political polling. Two elections in a row now have had very different outcomes than the polling suggested.
Re:The dirty tricks seem to come from one side (Score:2)
Not really. All the polling information I read give it 50/50 at best to have a clear winner on Election Day. The vast majority said neither candidate would have a clear win that night, both would stall out somewhere a little over 200 points, and there'd probably be 6-10 states that were close enough to be within the margin of error on polling. That's pretty much what's happening now.
Re: (Score:2)
538 had it at 90-10 for Biden. Which polling did you see that said it would be this close? Got any links?
Re: (Score:2)
538s commentary and predictions leading up to the day were the ones saying that. It was as low as 80/20 for a while and tightened to 90/10 only the day before the election. Most of the commentary kept hammering home that Biden was likely to eventually win, but there was a good chance enough battleground states would be too close to call - especially with the absentee and mail-in voting - that there wouldn't be a clear winner that day.
So, with the way things stand tonight, it's pretty much exactly what 538 w