33740835 story The Art of Elections Forecasting 101 Posted by timothy on Thursday June 07, 2012 @04:02PM from the can-we-get-a-point-spread-in-vegas? dept. ideonexus writes "Years ago Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight.com, a blog seeking to educate the public about elections forecasting, established his model as one of the most accurate in existence, rising from a fairly unknown statistician working in baseball to one of the most respected names in election forecasting. In this article he describes all the factors that go into his predictions. A fascinating overview of the process of modeling a chaotic system."