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Discuss the US Presidential Election & the Economy

Posted by CmdrTaco on Wed Oct 29, 2008 08:43 AM
from the stuff-that-matters dept.
A number of folks have been submitting topics that indicate that they want to have a serious discussion on the issues surrounding this election. Since we're under a week now, I've decided to run a series of discussion stories to give you guys a place to discuss the issue. So here's the first one: The Economy. It's the biggest topic these days, eclipsing even war as the most important issue to most Americans. But how will that affect your choice next week? And why?
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[+] News: Discuss the US Presidential Election & the War 1211 comments
With under a week to go, we're opening up discussions on the US Presidential Election. Yesterday we discussed the economy. Today we take on one of the other major election topics: The War. From the actual wars in Afghanistan and Iraq, to foreign policy issues related to potential threats like North Korea, Russia, and Iran, how do the candidates stack up?
[+] Discuss the US Presidential Election & Education 1515 comments
In 24 hours, many of you will be able to vote. So as we come down to the wire, this is really our last chance to talk about the issues. We've already discussed Health Care, the War, and the Economy. Today I'm opening up the floor to discuss education. Perhaps no other issue will matter more in 50 years. Which candidate will make the next generation smarter?
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  • by Anonymous Coward on Wednesday October 29 2008, @08:45AM (#25553795)

    I hadn't noticed

    • by Anonymous Coward on Wednesday October 29 2008, @09:17AM (#25554347)

      I hadn't noticed

      Why do you hate America?

      • Ok..how about taxes? (Score:5, Interesting)

        by cayenne8 (626475) on Wednesday October 29 2008, @09:32AM (#25554623) Homepage Journal
        Well, right now I'm thinking about taxation.

        I'm against Obama's plan to give tax rebates to people that do not pay federal income taxes. I'm sorry, but, if you get a rebate for something you didn't pay for, that isn't a rebate, it is welfare and income redistribution.

        I don't like how Obama is planning to turn Social Security into a progressive pay system like income taxes. This is a major retooling of the system. He wants lower income people to start paying less of a percentage (possibly down to a zero point?) yet still recieve full benefits. This [aei.org] is an interesting article describing what BHO is planning to do with SS.

        On the other hand, with McCain, he's wanting to start taxing heath benefits on employees rather than let them pay those premiums pre-tax. That BLOWS.

        Why can't they just cut wasteful, federal spending....and let ALL tax payers keep more of their own money?

  • any evidence (Score:5, Insightful)

    by iocat (572367) on Wednesday October 29 2008, @08:46AM (#25553807) Journal
    Has there been any evidence shown that either guy running for president has any idea how the economy works? All I've seen is platitudes and empty stateents from both of them.
    • by Lord_Frederick (642312) on Wednesday October 29 2008, @08:49AM (#25553863)

      Anyone that has a clue how the economy works is smart enough to not be in politics.

    • Re:any evidence (Score:5, Insightful)

      by Atriqus (826899) on Wednesday October 29 2008, @08:50AM (#25553873) Homepage
      It'd probably be more effective if we knew the credentials of the economists they're talking to... assuming their decisions are being run by competent people in the field.
    • Re:any evidence (Score:5, Insightful)

      by the4thdimension (1151939) on Wednesday October 29 2008, @08:51AM (#25553895) Homepage
      Has there been any evidence to show that ANYONE knows how the economy works? The world economy is based on emotions and speculation, which are faaar from exact sciences. Find me anyone who can predict the market and knows how it works and I will find you a billionaire keeping a secret. No one knows how it works exactly, there are some that just read it better than others.

      No one knows how to bend the economy in certain directions, they just take stabs in the dark and hope for the best.
      • Re:any evidence (Score:5, Interesting)

        by Anonymous Coward on Wednesday October 29 2008, @09:09AM (#25554211)

        The Canadians seem to know something: during the Great Depression not a single Canadian bank failed. This time around, at least so far, the same thing.

      • by Corpuscavernosa (996139) on Wednesday October 29 2008, @09:11AM (#25554237)
        Dude, the DOW closed up 900 points yesterday. It's fixed man!

        I'm so happy I'm going to go get a second sub-prime mortgage!

    • Short answer (Score:5, Insightful)

      by icebrain (944107) on Wednesday October 29 2008, @08:53AM (#25553941)

      Has there been any evidence shown that either guy running for president has any idea how the economy works?

      Nope. One says "we'll just give people money, that'll fix it!" and the other says "we'll just cut taxes on businesses, that'll fix it!"

      I just hope that whichever candidate wins realizes that he does not have a "mandate" from the people to implement every policy idea, and swing far to the extreme positions of his party. This is going to be a very close race, and he will have wound up being elected by just a slight majority of the fraction of the eligible voting population that bothered to actually vote. Almost nobody who votes for a candidate agrees with him on every single point; it's quite possible they disagree on everything but one or two issues.

      Point is, winning by a tiny fraction does not mean everyone wants radical "change". 90% might indicate that, but 50.7% doesn't.

      • Re:Short answer (Score:5, Informative)

        by hrvatska (790627) on Wednesday October 29 2008, @09:35AM (#25554687)

        Nope. One says "we'll just give people money, that'll fix it!" and the other says "we'll just cut taxes on businesses, that'll fix it!"

        If you go to their websites you can download more detailed policy proposals.

        • http://www.barackobama.com/issues/economy/
        • http://www.johnmccain.com/Issues/jobsforamerica/

        For an independent comparison of their plans for the economy in general, and more specifically taxes and spending, you might want to try this article [nytimes.com] and this article [nytimes.com].

    • Re:any evidence (Score:5, Insightful)

      by bentcd (690786) <bcd@pvv.org> on Wednesday October 29 2008, @08:57AM (#25554023) Homepage

      Has there been any evidence shown that either guy running for president has any idea how the economy works? All I've seen is platitudes and empty stateents from both of them.

      Like most politicians, the leading contenders don't have personal expertise in the field of finance so, no, they don't know a whole lot about how the economy works.

      Nor should they need to. It is not necessary that the president has personal expertise in all areas relating to the running of the state. What /is/ important is that he surrounds himself with competent advisors.

      What you need to watch out for is a candidate who /presumes/ to know /exactly/ how to resolve the situation and who justifies this with a reference to some ideology or other. Chances are such a candidate is much more interested in carrying through his ideology rather than in actually solving any problems. Candidates that devolve into generalities, however, are much more likely to enlist actual competent aid when it comes down to actually getting something useful done.

      In this case, then, the question generally boils down to "does my candidate accept that there is a problem and that action is necessary?" and both top candidates seem to fit the bill.

      • Re:any evidence (Score:5, Interesting)

        by Shotgun (30919) on Wednesday October 29 2008, @09:20AM (#25554417)

        What you need to watch out for is a candidate who /presumes/ to know /exactly/ how to resolve the situation and who justifies this with a reference to some ideology or other. Chances are such a candidate is much more interested in carrying through his ideology rather than in actually solving any problems.

        That is why I will walk to the somberly walk to the polls with head bowed and pull the lever for McCain. My head and heart are with Bob Barr, but there is reality to contend with.

        Both houses of Congress are controlled by a Democratic majority. Obama has voted 97% of the time with the Democratic leadership, and nothing I have heard about or from him has led me to believe that he is anything other than a warmed over 60's style activist acting as a mouthpiece for a socialist agenda. History has shown that when one party has control of the entire legislative and executive branches of our government, the economy suffers. A president that will walk lockstep with a Congressional leadership that has shown it has an axe to grind (re: Nancy Pelossi's partisan speech right before the Bailout Bill was to pass the first time) is not what this country needs...now or ever.

        An Obama presidency with a rubberstamp Congress, or a Democratic Congress with a rubberstamp Obama presidency, either way you want to look at it, will be disastrous.

    • by cvd6262 (180823) on Wednesday October 29 2008, @08:59AM (#25554053)

      Saw this on a bumper sticker:

      We're screwed: 2008.

      I couldn't summarize my feelings any better.

    • Re:any evidence (Score:5, Insightful)

      by dmomo (256005) on Wednesday October 29 2008, @09:03AM (#25554127) Homepage

      Our CEO cannot program for shit. But he makes a great product happen. I would worry less about how much the President knows about the inner working of the Economy and more about whether that person has the skills to make decisions based on intelligence taken from the advisers they employ. Fingers crossed.

      As far as the empty statements go. Well, that's politicking. Yes it sucks. But each of the two main candidates in this election have clearly polarized strategies for our Economy. Promisises aside, we can assume that each will pursue the general direction of their part. Let's hope whoever wins will follow their strategy in earnest (i mean assuming it's the person we voted for :) ) with their sights on straightening out this mess.

      • Re:any evidence (Score:5, Insightful)

        by SatanicPuppy (611928) * <Satanicpuppy@nOSPaM.gmail.com> on Wednesday October 29 2008, @09:06AM (#25554169) Journal

        Looks pretty similar, numerically, to the poll Scott Adams commissioned [slashdot.org].

        For my money, I'd rather have the guy from the party that doesn't disdain education as "elitist"; economists may not be right all the time, but they're more right than the average Joe the Plumber. I'd rather someone who was more fiscally conservative, but since there is no (electable) fiscal conservative in the race, that doesn't matter.

        • Re:any evidence (Score:5, Insightful)

          by PowerEdge (648673) on Wednesday October 29 2008, @09:19AM (#25554391)
          Hmmm. Greenspan, Bernanke, Raines, et al are educated economists. They were wrong. part of the problem is Government intrusion into the market. The market should be allowed to determine what lives and what dies, Government propping up failed policies and institutions teaches no one a lesson, specifically the market. The market was correcting the excesses and the government intrusion, then the government stepped in and mucked with it more. So our choice this election is someone who wants to give government ultimate power and believes the constitution is flawed, or the lesser evil. I for one am voting for McCain, but I'm in Texas so it makes not much of a difference. I really think the country and the media are in for a shock come November 5th. This week is very similar to 2004, Kerry was pretty much declared the winner, even the day of and night of the election. When the actual returns came, the left was shocked. They will be again.
  • ... and I feel fine. (Score:5, Informative)

    by symbolset (646467) on Wednesday October 29 2008, @08:46AM (#25553817) Journal

    Lots of money moving around. If you're quick you can catch some of it - or lose everything.

    Me, I'm going to keep doing what I'm doing - go to work and pay my bills and tough it out.

    The election? I'll be glad when it's over and everybody can shut up about it. Whoever wins is in for a lot of stress.

  • Ridiculous (Score:5, Interesting)

    by eldavojohn (898314) * <my/.username@@@gmail.com> on Wednesday October 29 2008, @08:47AM (#25553823) Homepage Journal
    Well, for those of you that might think to argue in favor of "conservative" liberals or Reaganomics, check out this interesting graph [cedarcomm.com] that illustrates National Debt by president. While it's not always true that the president can control spending (it's mostly congress & senate proposing them), it sure does nullify any idea that Republican presidents spend less than Obama.

    They're both going to spend the hell out of our money. The only difference might be whether it comes from us or gets put on our nation's maxed out credit card.

    Neither of them are going to solve the economic problem. This economic downturn is too deep and complicated for it to be put down as Bush's fault or for either of them to solve. So it's not going to affect my vote, what's done is done. How they propose to handle it sounds fairly similar--more preventative regulation. And I'm pretty much all for that. Who's the dumbshit that was allowing institutions to hand out loans to people without even checking their income level? Yeah, laissez faire is great and all but in its purest form idiots will ruin things. Need a happy middle ground.
      • Re:Ridiculous (Score:5, Informative)

        by Strawser (22927) on Wednesday October 29 2008, @08:59AM (#25554063) Homepage

        Should we also mention that Congress, not the President, makes the budget.

        http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_federal_budget [wikipedia.org]

        The President writes & submits the budget, Congress votes on it, amends it, votes some more, etc., then sends it back. Then the President signs it into law.

      • Re:Ridiculous (Score:5, Informative)

        by Tokerat (150341) on Wednesday October 29 2008, @09:34AM (#25554657) Journal

        "Under President Clinton the growth in debt ceased, but note the radical change in direction since George W. Bush entered office"

        I notice that the radical change in direction started while Clinton was still in office.

        Should we also mention that Congress, not the President, makes the budget.

        From TFA: "In 1993 President Clinton inherited the deficit spending problem and did more than just talk about it; he fixed it. In his first two years, with a cooperative Democratic Congress, he set the course for the best economy this country has ever experienced. Then he worked with what could be characterized as the most hostile Congress in history, led by Republicans for the last six years of his administration. Yet, under constant personal attacks from the right, he still managed to get the growth of the debt down to 0.32% (one third of one percent) his last year in office. Had his policies been followed for one more year the debt would have been reduced for the first time since the Kennedy administration. Contrary to the myth fostered by our right-wing friends, under a Democrat, revenue increased and spending decreased."

  • by Adult film producer (866485) <van@i2pmail.org> on Wednesday October 29 2008, @08:49AM (#25553849)
    I read in a very important email that Obama may be a crypto-marxist and may have converted to judaism during his teenage years :~( When this is revealed it will blow the lid off of civilization.
  • Small Government (Score:5, Interesting)

    by dethndrek (870145) on Wednesday October 29 2008, @08:49AM (#25553857)
    I'm a small government person. At least that's what I would prefer. However, we haven't seen anything like that with this Republican administration and I see no reason to believe that we would see it with another one. In addition to that, we've just effectively taken ownership of several incredibly large entities and in effect, nationalized them. Because of these reasons, I see no prospects of smaller government from either party. This removes my one philosophical reservation about voting for a democrat. Therefore, Obama.
    • Re:Small Government (Score:5, Informative)

      by LehiNephi (695428) on Wednesday October 29 2008, @09:17AM (#25554361) Journal
      I would like to point out that the Democrats were overwhelmingly in favor of the bailout that has led to the government taking over several large financial institutions, while the Republicans generally opposed it. Obama would also like to increase the involvement of government in the healthcare system, while McCain wants to more-or-less leave it intact.

      Aside from President Bush's actions, the Republican party generally favors far less government than the Democrats. I think your philosophical reservation against Democrats is still pretty much intact.
    • by Bromskloss (750445) on Wednesday October 29 2008, @09:36AM (#25554707)

      I'm a small government person.

      I don't see how your size matters here.

  • by Anonymous Coward on Wednesday October 29 2008, @08:50AM (#25553887)
    Are you going to vote for Barack Obama or are you a racist?
  • by MarkWatson (189759) on Wednesday October 29 2008, @08:51AM (#25553897) Homepage

    I don't care a whole lot who wins, if it is a fair election. That said, from what I have been reading, the republicans have pulled out all the stops in suppressing voters in groups that are polling strongly pro-Obama (e.g., active duty military, students, minorities.)

    Who ever does win will not be able to keep election promises since the economy is probably going to keep getting worse.

    Speaking of the economy, I think that the only real money that the government should spend is on critical infrastructure (education, roads, defend our borders in the least expensive way possible, support local agriculture and in general push local sustainable business and infrastructure,...) Notice that I did not include government sponsored health care (would be nice if we could afford it though.)

    I think that it is obvious that the "being an empire" thing is not worth the money that it costs.

  • by plopez (54068) on Wednesday October 29 2008, @08:54AM (#25553957)

    I'm learning to flint knap so that I will have the skills I need to make it in the new economy. I am also working on learning how to build an atlatl.

  • National Debt!!! (Score:5, Insightful)

    by kalpol (714519) on Wednesday October 29 2008, @08:57AM (#25554019) Homepage
    Neither major party candidate has mentioned addressing the crushing national debt or deficit spending. If I'm going to listen to platitudes, I want to hear about reducing spending and paying down the debt, not battles over who gets tax cuts.
  • by Anivair (921745) on Wednesday October 29 2008, @08:58AM (#25554043)
    The economy is a no brainer for me, and I'm not going to duplicate long posts I've already made elsewhere, but it works like this: Bush broke the economy, plain and simple. There were probably other factors, but everything he did only made it worse. McCain voted with him 90% of the time, especially on the economy. People are under some delusion that under a republican president they'll pay less taxes. Not true. Unless you're rich (and if you're not sure, you're not) you'll pay less taxes under a democratic president. But also, paying less taxes doesn't make you richer. if you pay less in taxes, but more in property taxes, mortgages, and gas prices, then where is the savings? And if gas prices rise, then so does transport and your dollar is worth less. And that makes you poor as well. Hell, i'd vote for obama even if he were raising my taxes. I might shell out a hundred extra bucks in taxes, but if I make it up in savings spread out over the year, then good for me.
  • by Orgasmatron (8103) on Wednesday October 29 2008, @09:02AM (#25554109)

    The media have been at best negligent in reporting on the economic issues at hand. At worst, they have been complicit.

    The causes of the housing bubble and meltdown aren't a secret. The identities of the people that have been calling for investigation and oversight aren't secret. The names of the people that have blocked every attempt to address the problem for the last 5 or 6 years aren't secret.

    Why does the news media consistently accept the bald lies of the people responsible? Why don't they bother telling people the truth?

    Does anyone really believe that if the roles of the parties were reversed there wouldn't be serious investigation?

  • by JoeFromPhilly (792856) on Wednesday October 29 2008, @09:06AM (#25554177)

    Your favorite candidate is absolutely terrible and will completely destroy our country. If they are elected we'll all end up subsistence farming and living in tent cities. I can't believe you would vote for them. Why do you hate America?

  • Socalist (Score:5, Insightful)

    by speroni (1258316) on Wednesday October 29 2008, @09:06AM (#25554179) Homepage

    I find it somewhere between hilarious and deeply disturbing that People can get up there and call Obama a socialist for wanting to tax rich people, while at the same time supporting the buying of banks by the federal government, which actually is socialist.

    How is taxing rich people any more socialist than taxing the middle class? Were trillions of dollars in debt, this money is going to come from somewhere.

    Also can anyone actually explain why we should be bailing out these banks in the first place? If we want to pretend to be capitalists we have to let businesses fail from time to time, especially when they bring it upon themselves with poor business practices like risky lending, and aggressive mortgages. Now GM is looking for a handout because they can't make a car that anyone wants and somehow thats the tax payers fault. (Meanwhile there's more Honda and Toyota manufacturing in the US than there is US manufacturing.)

    It seems our whole economic system is unsound. Its all based on retail sales of mostly useless crap that is designed to fail or has planned obsolesence so you have to buy more. We hardly manufacture anything stateside anymore.

    I suggest that we actually start focusing on high tech manufacturing. The stuff that can't be done on the cheap by unskilled labor.

  • by iplayfast (166447) on Wednesday October 29 2008, @09:11AM (#25554239) Homepage

    It seems obvious to me. They've got this 80 year old cancer survivor, and a very inexperienced (in politics) governor from a state that has it's own rules about most things that are very different then other states.

    Why would they try to loose? The economy is in the toilet, the US owes trillions, the US has a very poor foreign image. The Republicans have just decided to let the Democrats deal with the mess. Then for 4 years everyone is getting good and pissed at the Democrats for the lack of jobs, money, government safety nets of any sort (because there is no money for it).

    After 4 years, the Republicans can come swooping back in to "save the day" from those socialist Democrats who obviously can't run a country.

    • by Shakrai (717556) on Wednesday October 29 2008, @09:03AM (#25554129) Journal

      Nobody's vote counts, and as soon as we realize that we can start actually fixing problems.

      So your purposed method of fixing the problems is to allow the same asshats to keep getting re-elected year after year because you don't bother to vote or get involved?

      It takes courage and conviction to resist the "vote or die" crowd, but it MUST BE DONE.

      Yeah, it takes a lot of courage and conviction to sit on your ass watching American Idol instead of taking 15 minutes to go to the polling place and vote.

    • Re:Simple (Score:5, Insightful)

      by Shakrai (717556) on Wednesday October 29 2008, @09:14AM (#25554305) Journal

      The last thing this country needs is having the top 3 spots in the hands of Obama, Reed, and Pelosi, I have trouble imagining anything worse.

      How about George W. Bush, Hastert and Lott?

      I do find it amusing that the Republicans are resorting to the "divided Government" card and warning us all about the dangers of a single party controlling Congress and the White House. If they were being just a little bit more intellectually honest they'd end the argument with "Look how badly we fucked it up when we had that much power!"

    • Re:One-party system (Score:5, Informative)

      by dkleinsc (563838) on Wednesday October 29 2008, @09:16AM (#25554327)

      Additionally, it was mainly Democrats in the late 90s who pushed for banks to give more risky loans, which is one of the major causes of the economic turmoil today (it's certainly not the only cause).

      I'm not sure precisely what you're referring to here, but the claim that the Community Reinvestment Act caused this mess has been thoroughly debunked, largely because most of the subprime mortgages were made by relatively unregulated mortgage brokers not regulated by the CRA, rather than banks. Also, the rate of subprime lending for loans made to satisfy the CRA was comparable to the rate for loans in other locations.

      If you are instead referring to the Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act of 1999, that was created and pushed through Congress by Republicans, and signed by Bill Clinton, so both parties would be guilty there.

    • by Tokerat (150341) on Wednesday October 29 2008, @09:19AM (#25554387) Journal
      Most people are sick of the Bushes, the Amadinajhads, the Limbaughs, O'Rilleys, etc. of the world making irrational decisions and offensive statements based on the good book of their God and their hunger for power without doing much of anything to protect, maintain, or elevate the quality of life of the common person.

      Here in the US, the reason we have the right to bear arms is because the founders of the Constitution essentially said "If we fuck up, take us out." - point being, the government should act in your benefit only, as that is the way it was intended when it was founded.

      Conservatives have proven time and time again they don't think about consequences, and they assume what is good for them is what is good for everyone. I don't know about you, but when I vote, my vote is supposed to count for ME and what benefits me, but also what benefits everyone else around me and everyone else in my country. (Side note: A healthy economy and NOT pissing off the rest of the world with military occupancy is good for my country)

      After hearing all this neocon rhetoric over and over and being disgusted (Ann Coulter especially comes to mind), I can't say with any kind of conviction I can morally support anyone with opinions like that.

      They've made irrational choices, they've been WRONG plenty of times, and they've outright LIED to us to further their own agendas. Not that liberals don't have some folks who are downright nuts, but by and large the conservative movement has proven itself to be untrustworthy on several fronts and, quite frankly, un-American.

      (Disclaimer: Discussion thread. The preceding is my humble opinion.)
    • Re:hahaha (Score:5, Insightful)

      by twostix (1277166) on Wednesday October 29 2008, @09:21AM (#25554433)

      The US is *bloody broken* after 8 years of "conservative" rule, including six years of absolute power, something the "liberals" haven't had for 30 years or so.

      Whether liberals are better or not i don't really know. What I do know is of course the average person is going to be pissed at "conservatives". They've sent the US spiraling downwards in a way not seen since...well the beginning of the end of the Soviet empire.

      In any case I spend a lot of time on this site and am rabidly moderate and in reality it's about 50-50 liberal/conservative these days. 8 years ago it was a little more slanted, though then it seemed to be wide eyed radical libertarianism that dominated here.

      The funny thing is, and I keep noticing it every single time a "conservative" posts, they always whine on about how they'll be modded down by the "liberal whatever", etc etc. But get modded up at about the same rate as anyone else! You lot really seem to a have a *major* persecution complex which is bloody BIZARRE given that it's your party that's been running the US and setting the political discourse for nearly a decade.

      You really are all starting to sound like a bunch of bloody whingers.

      Man up.

      P.S Current US "conservatives" seem more like ultra radical idealists than anything related to conservatism but whatever.

    • by Shakrai (717556) on Wednesday October 29 2008, @09:34AM (#25554679) Journal

      That he was a little more American

      Oh, blow it out your fucking ass. His life story isn't sufficiently "American" for you? I thought being an American was all about overcoming obstacles/adversity and being successful?

      not half-Americans or whatever.

      I wasn't aware of a blood requirement to attain American citizenship. "All persons born or naturalized in the United States, and subject to the jurisdiction thereof, are citizens of the United States and of the State wherein they reside"

      Hmm. Born in Honolulu. Seems like he's an American to me......