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Iran Announces Manned Space Mission Plans
Posted by
timothy
on Thu Aug 21, 2008 01:57 PM
from the look-out-below dept.
from the look-out-below dept.
Lucas123 writes "After Iran's first attempt to launch a satellite on Sunday fell noticeably short of the Earth's atmosphere (though Iran claimed it made it into orbit), government officials stated they intend to put a man into space within 10 years. The long-range ballistic technology used to put satellites into space can also be used for launching weapons. Iran says it has no intention to use the technology for launching nuclear warheads."
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but will they get him back down? (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:but will they get him back down? (Score:4, Insightful)
Iran: "Yes, we're enriching nuclear material, but we promise it's not to make warheads."
Iran: "Yes, we're employing nuclear scientists, but we promise it's not to make warheads."
Iran: "Yes, we're creating nuclear production facilities, but we promise it's not to make warheads."
Iran: "Yes, we're developing a missle for our space program, but we promise it's not to deliver warheads."
Wouldn't it be poetic justice and just a tad ironic if the US spent all this time and money on the "boogey man in Iraq", then like the boy who cried wolf, is criticized and ignored over Iran?
Parent
Re:but will they get him back down? (Score:5, Interesting)
Wouldn't it be poetic justice and just a tad ironic if the US spent all this time and money on the "boogey man in Iraq", then like the boy who cried wolf, is criticized and ignored over Iran?
I guess. I knew that was going to be the score from the second Bush uttered the words "Axis of Evil". I knew damn well that the actually dangerous countries, Iran and North Korea, would be left more or less alone while the weak and harmless one was going to be invaded. That it was going to be the one invaded exactly because it was harmless. I mean, we wouldn't invade a country if we really thought they could retaliate with nukes. So NK and Iran, the ones with real nuclear programs, get all the diplomacy while Saddam got the U.S. Armed Forces Steamroll.
If it makes you feel any better, lots of countries are worried about Iran's nuclear program. They agree with the U.S. even if they aren't listening to U.S. "intelligence" any more. Just don't expect them to invade any time soon; even the Bush admin realizes how nasty and terrible that would be.
Parent
Re:but will they get him back down? (Score:4, Interesting)
The only way to win against North Korea is not to play, and wait for it to collapse... but our predictions of "collapse within this decade" are repeatedly pushed back.
Yeah, Kim is kinda like Castro that way. Only with a more messed up country, but more artillery and thus better bargaining power for aid to extend his rule.
Unfortunately, Iran is heavily involved in fueling both sides of the insurgency in Iraq, in order to kick US influence out of the region and keep the government from being too pro-US, which in turn means anti-Iran. I don't know about Afghanistan, but I'm sure Iran is involved in the same way with the Taliban as they are with various players in Iraq.
Iran is definitely involved with the Iraqi insurgency, but I don't think they have much if any influence over the Sunni part. But they're doing just fine fueling both "sides" of the Shia insurgency. SIIC (ne SCIRI) and its militia the Badr Brigade and al Sadr's party and Madhi Army militia are heavily influenced by Iran; the Supreme Council for the Islamic Revolution in Iraq was actually founded in Iran by Iraqi ex-patriots. It's funny how now that the Badr Brigade has been largely absorbed into/become the Iraqi Army and is thus the "good guys", we totally played up the Iranian connection to Sadr when the army went after him, but ignored the even deeper connection to the ruling party. But reality is, whichever side of the insurgency wins, it's a win for Iran. The whole Iraq war is a huge win for Iran.
As far as the Taliban, I doubt Iran has much influence over them. As the hardest of hard-core Pushtun Sunnis, the Taliban hate Iran, and Iran hates them as much as they hated Saddam. But that's okay. Getting rid of one hated enemy and replacing it with a sympathetic government on one side, and getting rid of another hated enemy and merely replacing it with a weak government on the other is more than enough.
I have very mixed feelings about the invasion of Iraq, intended to be a easy operation over quickly but marred by incompetent civilian leadership. It is extremely unfortunate that we simply can't respond to other problem states in the world due to the smaller-scale MAD circumstances that exist.
Well thanks to all our forces being focused on Iraq, we can't respond period. It was never going to be an easy operation, it was never going to be quick, but the very fact that the idiots in charge thought otherwise made it so, so much worse than it would have been. It's mind boggling how badly we've shot ourselves in the foot.
Parent
Re:That's Not "Ironic" (Score:4, Interesting)
What tinfoil hat? You're right about all those accusations about Iran. They just happen to also be partners in crime with our own government's people, as is very well documented. You do know that the Iran/Contra criminals [wikipedia.org] were convicted on proven charges of conspiracy, right?
Parent
Re:That's Not "Ironic" (Score:4, Insightful)
Iran has a serious case of "little man" syndrome.
Indeed. They still haven't had much luck in forming a working republic after having their elected leader deposed by the US, suffering under economic sanctions, fighting an over-long brutal war with Iraq, being surrounded by not so friendly Arab states, the nukes in India, the nukes in Pakistan, and now that the US has moved in next door (complementing their previous and continuing efforts elsewhere in the region), they can't seem to win for losing.
And you thought South Central was a bad neighbourhood.
If there's a bright side, it's that their fellow Shia have come to power in Iraq.
Parent
Re:That's Not "Ironic" (Score:5, Informative)
I believe parent was talking about the prime minister, Dr. Mohammed Mossadegh, who was overthrown by the CIA and MI6 in 1953. I suggest you google "Operation Ajax".
Parent
Re:That's Not "Ironic" (Score:5, Insightful)
I am going to call you a Waaaambulance. Cry me a river Iran! It was Ayatollah Khomeini who overthrew the Shah! Of course, that idiot Jimmy Carter didn't help one bit. Regarding their war with Iraq, tough! It takes two to tangle
1) If you're going to call people idiots, perhaps you should back it up and not make mistakes yourself. 2) You don't look so smart yourself, as it's clear that the parent wasn't talking about the Shah being overthrown, but the government of Mohammad_Mossadegh [wikipedia.org]. 3) The idiom [goenglish.com] is "it takes two to tango," not tangle.
You know why Arab states don't like Iran, its because Iranian Shi'a Islam is considered heretical and destabilizing.
That's a stupid reason not to like a country. Other things the Arab states don't like because it's heretical and/or destabilizing: women's rights, infidels (aka: anyone they disagree with on practically anything), beer, etc, etc.
Nukes in India and Pakistan are of no consequence to Iran.
I'm afraid that the prospect of having your neighbor nuked is always cause for concern. Winds and radioactivity don't care about national borders. I suspect that there's some national angst there.
The US is there to remind the little man that we can whip his ass in a heart beat.
Iran is a man now? With an ass to be whipped? You know better than that kind of oversimplification.
Odd, I thought the U.S. was in the region in such force to rebuild Iraq after deposing of Saddam Hussein because he was allegedly violating the terms of the 1991 armistice and stockpiling weapons of mass destruction.
Your language sounds about as jingoistic as I could imagine. It's not an asswhipping, because it's not a fistfight. It's a war your talking about here -- murder writ large and sometimes a bit of actual self defense.
Iran gets no pity party from me, but its people who are yearning to be free do!
What's the difference between Iran and it's people? Perhaps you shouldn't pity them, but actually work to understand them, and not just the ones who "yearn to be free," but all of the Iranians. I'm not saying agree with them, nor even try to befriend them, but merely to look past Khomeini and friends and view Iran not as a single militant entity, but as millions of different people, many of whom have unjustly suffered at the hands of their neighbors, their religious kin, their government and, sadly, the United States' government.
Cry for them.
Parent
Re:That's Not "Ironic" (Score:4, Interesting)
The parent poster is possibly either a Sunni ethnic Muslim, or a Sunni sympathizer of some sort, because his obvious disdain for the Shi'ites in Iran is a classic symptom of this deep, deep schism within Islam.
The Arab states don't like Iran at all, and it's largely because they see Iran as the heretical, more organized, non-Arab, superior brothers. The Gulf Arab states as a group are very suspicious of the relatively successful model of Iran. Shi'ites, as a minority group within Islam, are generally very well-educated in both the religious and secular sciences, and as the grotesquely rich Gulf Arab states have squandered the first few decades of their oil wealth, Iran has a very well-organized military, some great universities, a great sense of national pride that pre-dates Islam, and have committed resources to nation building.
The Sunni Gulf-Arab states dread Iran for these very reasons, and lots of Sunnis hate Shi'ites more than they hate non-Muslims.
Having lived in a Gulf-Arab state for a long time, I have to say, the Gulf-Arab states get a bad rep because of Saudi Arabia. Not all Gulf-Arab states are the same. The United Arab Emirates, Qatar, Oman, Kuwait, all have very emancipated women in social life, even though their legislation is still based on some form of male chauvinism. Some of these countries have women in their fledgling democratically-elected legislative assemblies, and one of them actually recognizes Israel, if I'm not mistaken.
Many of these countries are moving forward, slowly, but surely. The transition from a nomadic lifestyle diving for pearls or wandering the desert, to a fully modern, post-industrial society is a generations-long journey, and many of these Gulf-Arab states, though with deep-seated social and political immaturity (I would know, I grew up in one), are making the first strides towards some form of acceptable modernity.
I just feel credit must be given where credit is due. :)
Parent
Re:That's Not "Ironic" (Score:4, Insightful)
Oh good, it's your day they'll be making. So, we can expect your enlistment...when?
Parent
Re:That's Not "Ironic" (Score:5, Informative)
You must really be crazy to call the proven conspiracy of Bush's team members to arm Iran something worthy of a "tinfoil hat".
Especially when you yourself link Rumsfeld and Cheney with Ford. But then, you don't bother to point out that Rumsfeld and Cheney met while working together for Nixon. All of which is consistent with working with America's enemies.
You've got your tinfoil hat on backwards. It's frying your brain.
Parent
Re:That's Not "Ironic" (Score:5, Insightful)
I don't think you really know what's going on here.
Cheney and Rumsfeld kept their top-level jobs their whole lives because they were good at it. Sure, they caused catastrophes wherever they went. Sure, their careers cost America vast, often irreparable damage, and many, many lives (and even more of non-Americans). But their bosses made out like bandits. That's not "incompetent". That's highly productive, while not caring who or what they destroy to get what they want.
Parent
Re:That's Not "Ironic" (Score:4, Insightful)
Nonsense. If the U.S. doesn't have a history of meddling in middle eastern affairs, there is no 9/11. This is the explanation given by the terrorists. What reason is there to lie? If China wins more gold medals in the current Olympics, won't they be "PREEMINENT" as well? Once China's economy is bigger than ours, will China suffer terrorist attacks?
Parent
Re:That's Not "Ironic" (Score:4, Insightful)
re: PREEMINENT
I expect to see the political fallout from this within the next 10-20 years, assuming there isn't fallout of a more physical nature before then. There is something of an unholy alliance between China and the Islamic world, IMHO driven by pragmatism on China's part, and "enemy of my enemy is my friend" on the Islamic part. But at some point the Islamic side will wake up and see just how godless the Chinese can be, and the Chinese will wake up and see just how unsensibly non-pragmatic the Islamic fundamentalists can be, and things will become "interesting", in the Confucian sense.
Parent
Re:That's Not "Ironic" (Score:5, Informative)
But at some point the Islamic side will wake up and see just how godless the Chinese can be, and the Chinese will wake up and see just how unsensibly non-pragmatic the Islamic fundamentalists can be, and things will become "interesting", in the Confucian sense.
It isn't reported much, but there ARE Islamic bombings in China already...
Parent
Re:That's Not "Ironic" (Score:5, Insightful)
I suppose you think we'd be loved and respected by the rest of the world, if ONLY we hadn't invaded Iraq! Iran would be our friend. Europeans-on-the-street would be saying they wish they could be just like us.
Think again. We're unpopular, we're often complained about, BECAUSE WE ARE PREEMINENT. No other reason is necessary.
Actually, before 9/11, the US had fairly strong support in Europe and elsewhere. Not massive, but nothing terribly bad either. After 9/11 when the US retaliated against Afghanistan, there was very strong support. It really is only since the invasion of Iraq for the flimsiest of excuses that recent worldwide anger against the US and its policies became widespread.
Parent
Re:That's Not "Ironic" (Score:4, Insightful)
2. After Musharraf and the Pakistan military co-operated with the US to crack down on Islamic extremism, there is a virtual civil war going on in Pakistan. On one side is the corrupt military that controls most of the country by force. Scarily, those are the 'good' guys. The other side are the religous mullahs. They aren't the moderate muslim leaders we have over here. They are pro-bin laden jihadists who we really wouldn't like to see in control of the nuclear weapons that AQ Khan built for Pakistan. The Best part is they control the region the Taliban and Al-Qaeda retreated so completely the military is scared to go there and it would be suicide for the police to enter it.
Don't forget when our only real choice for a "good guy", a moderate and a reformer loved by the people, willing to work with the West, and aligned with neither the jihadists nor the military, was assassinated on the campaign trail. What a sad day that was.
Frankly, that all scares the willies out of me.
No kidding.
but ignore the real world, lets worry about the Bush Dynasty and it's heinous attempts at holding a free election in Iraq.
Hey now. Not that Bush is actually the greatest danger in the world (I mean, he's a short-timer and lame duck at this point), don't sugar coat the massively stupid fuck-up that was the invasion, and it's effects on the situation. I mean aside from strengthening Iran, how fucking insane is it that because our military is so entangled in Iraq that we can't field enough forces in Afghanistan to hold onto bases and cities we'd previously taken from the Taliban? And forget about being able to do what the Pakistanis can't and go into the northern regions where the Taliban retreats to every winter! There's a real battle with real fronts against our real enemy going on, but we can't do the needful because we're stuck in a pointless quagmire!
The frightening situation in Afghanistan and Pakistan is exactly why invading Iraq was the stupidest fucking thing we could have done.
Parent
Re:That's Not "Ironic" (Score:4, Insightful)
But it did demonstrate American will to deploy far more forces than needed to conquer Iraq(enough to militarily conquer Iran or Pakistan in fact), if WMD ever got in the hands of someone like Saddam who was willing to use them.
The thing is, I doubt Iran and Pakistan believed the ludicrous WMD lies, so all we really proved is that we're willing to invade a country that doesn't have them. Which I think is the major reason why Iran wants them, to deter us from attacking (this being even before Iraq). Pakistan already had nukes for years; they aren't worried about us invading them. Their change of heart came after 9/11 when they suddenly became our buddies in the War on Terror. I've seen no evidence that the invasion of Iraq has lessened the relationship between the ISP and the Taliban.
I mean, it's possible that Iraq at least showed that we were willing to mobilize a lot of troops, I'm just not sure what that actually could have bought us.
But that's alot of speculation. I think we are largely agreed that Bush/Cheney are either dangerously incompetent or dangerously corrupt, or both. But even with that, the leadership in Iran and Pakistan is a much greater threat and orders of magnitude more frightening.
I'm quite certain of their extreme incompetence, and confident of a fair measure of corruption by Cheney and company just from their Nixon/Regan days. Of course they aren't much of a threat any more, their damage has been done, and soon they'll be out. The only danger left, then, is that we repeat the same stupid mistake by which we let them back into power after getting rid of them before. Obviously Iran is a bigger threat than these neocon losers.
Parent
Re:but will they get him back down? (Score:5, Interesting)
My understanding was that after hundreds of years of being persecuted and murdered by the Christians in Europe and then on a far more massive scale by Hitler and the rest of WWII era Christians in Germany and by pretty much everyone else, it was supposed to be a small piece of land where they could feel safe from such persecution and actually have the power of a government to defend themselves. It is not surprising that the rest of the world should object to such a refuge. After Hitler, I think it was supposed to be a sort of "enough is enough!" kind of thing. I'm not clear on whether people who object to the existence of Israel are doing so on the basis of the particular spot that was chosen (The Holy Land! LOL) or on the fact that a refuge for Jews should exist at all.
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Re:but will they get him back down? (Score:5, Funny)
There will be no homosexuals in Iran because the government will send them all into orbit without means to get back down alive.
Parent
Re:but will they get him back down? (Score:4, Funny)
Oxygen? Insha'Allah.
Parent
They will start... (Score:5, Funny)
Pretty Much...Rocket Details (Score:4, Informative)
The Safir rocket is an adaptation of their Shahab-3 missile. This is a medium range ballistic missile and one of several they claimed to have test-launched en masse last month, giving Stephen Colbert an easy 10 minutes of fill material after it was found out the photos of the launch were doctored. It seems their Shahab inventory, at least flight-ready Shahab's, is not as large as they want outsiders to believe.
The Shahab itself is based on the North Korean Nodong missile, which in turn was developed from second-hand Scud missiles acquired from Egypt. Going back even further, the Scud originated in the 50's in the Soviet Union as a scaled down, improved version of the German V-2. Whew! Talk about a long lineage.
For the launch vehicle derivative, it apparently has been fitted with a different second stage, possibly derived from Soviet SA-2 surface to air missiles, and probably a small third stage with a payload fairing for the orbital version. Payload would likely be very small...the Shahab-3 only carries a 1 ton warhead on a sub-orbital trajectory. The launch weight is less than SpaceX's Falcon-1, which has a 700kg LEO capability and presumably a higher-performance engine.
Despite not having a large technical infrastructure, Iran is not entirely devoid of reasonably competent engineers. Given enough resolve and a couple more tries, they will probably succeed. It at least appears theoretically possible for that rocket to reach orbit.
However, that is still a very, very long ways from putting a man in space, even counting on existing technologies. Such a rocket will not scale well at all, meaning they will need to develop something completely new from the ground up...because North Korea isn't going to be able to supply them with a Soyuz to copy. China, for example, launched their first satellite in 1970, but it wasn't 2003 that they actually put a person in orbit. That was after drawing on Soviet experience and 3-4 generations of their own ballistic mis...err, I mean expendable launch vehicles.
Like many of their past claims, there's little reason to expect Iran to be able to follow through on the man in space claim for the foreseeable future.
Parent
How is this a threat anymore? (Score:5, Interesting)
I thought we neutralized the ICBM boogey man with our missile defense stuff. Isn't that why Russia's pissed at Poland right now?
Re:How is this a threat anymore? (Score:4, Insightful)
I thought we neutralized the ICBM boogey man with our missile defense stuff. Isn't that why Russia's pissed at Poland right now?
This is the problem with having a defense that is somewhat effective but not perfect. If you have a system that can shoot down, say, 50% of nuclear missiles, the Russians look at it and see that their nuclear arsenal is only half as effective a threat as it once was, and get annoyed. However, you still don't want to trust your life to something that has become a coin toss (maybe the shield will shoot the missile down, maybe the city will be obliterated, who knows?) The Russians also want to discourage further development of missile defense, because if America ever does manage to get it reliable enough to count on, that leaves them in the same losing position that unilateral disarmament would.
Parent
Re:How is this a threat anymore? (Score:5, Insightful)
So if the US isn't going to use it for defense, then what are they going to use it for?
Have you not been paying attention? Its 'use' is simply to be able to award no-bid contracts to defense contractors.
Next question...
Parent
Atmosphere out of reach... (Score:5, Funny)
"After Iran's first attempt to launch a satellite on Sunday fell noticeably short of the Earth's atmosphere"
And we all know how hard it is to reach the Earth's atmosphere!
Re:Atmosphere out of reach... (Score:5, Funny)
And if you read to the end, you see it took four people to come up with that linguistic gem... The author, two contributors, and an explicitly named editor.
From people who are paid to communicate. That's all they do.
The species is doomed...
Fortunately I hear magpies are self-aware...
Parent
Re:Atmosphere out of reach... (Score:5, Funny)
And we all know how hard it is to reach the Earth's atmosphere!
It is if your launching a missile from underwater [wikipedia.org] you insensitive clod!
Wow, I never thought I would use the "insensitive clod" joke... but there it is.
Parent
uh huh... (Score:4, Insightful)
Re:uh huh... (Score:5, Informative)
Parent
Should provide entertainment. (Score:5, Funny)
Will there be a Iranian Space Information Minister to tell us about all the wonderful things happening in the space program?
"Our cosmonauts have reported to have seen from space that Italy looks like the boot of Allah striking the Zionist regime. Soon we will harvest the moon for cheese and will no longer rely on the vile cartoon-drawing Danish."
Now mods... before you mod me flamebait, first consider this: could I possibly be trolling, instead?
Re:Should provide entertainment. (Score:5, Informative)
I know you're making a joke here, but the joke is less funny the more you know about Iran. Iran and Iraq differ by a lot more than one consonant. For one thing, the way their government works is much more complicated than the old Baghdad Bob's Baathist regime.
First of all, charming Mr. Ahmadinejad, although he is quite capable of saying some pretty outrageous things, doesn't wield supreme power, or even anything close to it. The Supreme Leader, Ali Khameni, is much more powerful. But even his power is arguably the ultimate one, it is by design much more awkward for him to wield than, say, Saddam's version of ultimate power.
There are even relative moderates in the government like Akbar Rafsanjani, former president and current chairman of both the Expendiency Council and Assembly of Experts. The Assembly theoretically has the power to dismiss the Supreme Leader, although no actions in that direction have ever, so far as we know, been taken.
The point here is that the Iranian government isn't even close to being the kind of dictatorship where everybody has to parrot the President's fantasies. To tell you the truth, it isn't quite like any other form of government I can think of, it's more like a hybrid of a democratic Republic and a theocracy, with the theocracy acting primarily in a judicial role but with certain executive powers theoretically in their direct or indirect control. Ack, that's a really bad summary, but the best I can do.
The important thing that everybody should understand about Iran is that the Iranian government is not anything monolithic entity driven by the ego or ideology of any single person, not even the Supreme Leader.
The way we deal with such a country isn't quite the same as you would deal with a dictatorship. Perhaps one might approach Iran in the way we dealt with the old totalitarian states, although Iran isn't really very much like them. There is a power structure there which, through its various organs, might be dealt with pragmatically. Such dealings might even, in some cases, tip the balance of power between factions.
The Iranians take seriously the idea of being an "Islamic Republic". It seems almost incomprehensible to the Western mind that this could be anything but a sham, but it's not. There's a thousand years of Shiite historical and religious thought which limits the ability of even senior religious leaders to wield absolute power.
Parent
Re:Should provide entertainment. (Score:5, Funny)
The Jews control Sicily now?!
You really didn't think that Moshe's Pizza in Haifa would keep us satisfied for very long, did you?
Parent
just slight of hand (Score:5, Interesting)
Just another way to say "we are really not trying to improve our missile technology." then one day they will all of a sudden have a intercontinental missiles, with a look what we found expression on their face.
not good.
Sensationalism Much? (Score:5, Funny)
The long-range ballistic technology used to put satellites into space can also be used for launching weapons. Iran says it has no intention to use the technology for launching nuclear warheads."
It could also be used to deliver a payload of the following things to the earth from orbit
- Ice Cream
- Ninja Stars
- Signed copies of Limbo of the Lost [wikipedia.org] or Daikatana
You think that we could leave the nefarious plans, no matter how obvious, up to the readers? Sheesh!
now that's thinking outside the box (Score:4, Funny)
A small child can be trained on video games and then sealed into the warhead's reentry vehicle to steer it down to its target. Won't add too much weight, and it's probably cheaper to develop than an equivalent electronic guidance package, given the flexibility and intelligence of the control module. A culture of martyrdom gives Iran some interesting design options.
Russia? (Score:4, Insightful)
Is it any wonder that they are doing this? I'm sure this has been in the works, but with what Russia is doing, how many things can the US be a watch dog on? I'm sorry world...but at some point y'all have to be concerned too...can't just rely on the US...and you shouldn't because by evidence of the Iraq War, we aren't always (or even close to) right.
Religion in space (Score:5, Interesting)
Irans business-plan (Score:5, Funny)
2. Send iranians into space.
3. ???????
4 Prophet!!!
It is to laugh. (Score:5, Insightful)
Maybe they should focus on basics... (Score:4, Insightful)
For all their attempts to be a major regional power they should spend less money on putting some Iranian in space a lot more effort on making sure the Iranian people have food, shelter, heat, roads, sewers, water and jobs.
On one hand you have a country developing ICBM's and trying to put people in space and on the other you have hundreds of people freezing to death because a government with some of the largest energy reserves in the world can't provide natural gas to rural populations living in the mountains.
Personally I'm astounded the Iranian people or even the clerics of Iran put up with it. Everyone in control must be so out of touch with the people on the ground they don't even realize the difference they could make and the power Iran would have if they could solve the real economic and infrastructure problems the country has.
Re:Maybe they should focus on basics... (Score:4, Insightful)
Iranian people have food, shelte,r heat, roads, sewers, water and jobs. It may come as a surprise to some, but Iran, theoratic and totalitarian as it is, is not that poor. It's not up to the western life level, of course, but it is still a welfare state (as written in its constitution) with some fundamental guarantees for its citizens.
Parent
Re:developing technology for a nuclear weapons prg (Score:4, Funny)
Parent
Re:developing technology for a nuclear weapons prg (Score:5, Insightful)
They will never be able to match their arsenal to that of US or UK or France or Russia or Israel.
They don't care. That is the problem. The doctrine of Mutually Assured Destruction [wikipedia.org] (MAD) that kept the peace (at least relatively, proxy wars were still fought in a limited fashion but only up to a point) for nearly fifty (50) years during the Cold War was based upon one simple notion: the other side might no like us but at least they are not crazy OR in the words of our late great President John F. Kennedy,
"For in the final analysis, our most basic common link, is that we all inhabit this small planet, we all breathe the same air, we all cherish our children's futures, and we are all mortal."
Iran is a theocracy officially governed by religion which doesn't cherish the future of its children (instead it glorifies suicide bombing) and believes in immortality with Allah and 70 virgins in heaven. Now you begin to see why allowing such people to have even one bomb is such a concern. There is more than an outside chance that they might choose to use their bomb against Israel or the United States or Europe regardless of the consequences (i.e. in their minds they all die in the retaliatory strike and go to their reward of 70 virgins). Religion and powerful weapons are and have always been a dangerous mix.
Parent
Re:developing technology for a nuclear weapons prg (Score:5, Insightful)
Bullshit. It is completely different thing to use suicide attacks in warfare or terrorism and to commit a national suicide.
We heard this same crap about Chinese and Russians. You know, they're not real people, they're not thinking like us etc. etc. etc.
The leaders of Iran are very much interested in maximizing their well-being in this world. And filling up their pockets in the process. Most of Iran's theocrats are also businessmen. Christians are not the only hypocrites.
Parent
Re:developing technology for a nuclear weapons prg (Score:5, Insightful)
Don't be silly. Your argument does not even apply to fundamentalists/extremists (such as the khomenei, bin laden..etc). Why haven't the chief heads of al-qaeda waged an all out suicidal war in the open against the western soldiers? Why hasn't bin laden blown himself up to go to heaven and be with allah and the beautiful virgins forever? Why didn't the Iranians cross over into Iraq and do the same? That is the ultimate goal, right?
If it was as simple as you state, and the Persians think the way you think they do, they would have already attacked the US and Israel. By your logic, they don't need a nuclear bomb, they just want provoke war and die in the consequences, and they can do that very easily.
The truth is they're just talking, because tough talk is what keeps them in power (kind of like over here in the good old USA). Gone are the days of conquest in the name of spreading religion. Now it's mostly madmen who perceive themselves as saviors, unemployed and desperate young men who believe them (terrorist recruits), and dictators trying to stay in power. The muslims right now should be the least of our worries.
Parent
Re:Countering propaganda (Score:5, Funny)
Or, you could just say "Bring it on!" That worked wonders for us in Iraq.
Parent
Re:Just remember. . . (Score:5, Insightful)
All of that could true (i'm not going to get into the details of your delusional post)... AND Iran could be up to something that violates the NPT they signed. There was an Iran before Bush, and (just maybe) there will be one after. Just because you hate Bush, doesn't mean that the Iranian gov't doesn't mean us harm. Bush's idiocy and Iran's theocracy seeking WMD are not mutually exclusive.
If Bush did nothing about Iran, and Iran does something bad in 2009... "Bush let Iran build nukes!". Looks like a lose/lose proposition. Act, and he's an evil dolt. Do nothing, calamity strikes, and Bush is still an evil dolt.
Are you an brilliant troll or are you really that blinded by partisanship?
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Re:Are they selling bridges too? (Score:4, Insightful)
There are a lot of people who recognize this as hypocrisy, but the smarter anti-proliferation (aka sane) people have a more nuanced position than "it's okay for XXX and YYY to have nukes, but not for ZZZ." Instead, the idea is that it's not really okay for XXX, YYY, or ZZZ to have these things, but getting XXX and YYY to drop theirs is a separate problem that will take different problem solving techniques to fix. Most people can agree that ZZZ shouldn't have nukes. If I lived in a non-nuclear nation, I certainly wouldn't want my own military to acquire these weapons (Though I would support efforts to generate nuclear power).
Just like USA, UK, France, Israel, China, India, Pakistan et al then ...
Nobody "SAYS" they will launch a nuclear warhead, they're all to deter the other bunch of crazy bastards from doing it.
So why is is okay for say Israel to have them pointed at Iran, and yet Iran cannot have any "deterrant" ?
And don't say that Iran are crazy religious nuts, because Israel would launch one in 5 seconds if they could get away with it (and probably would too).
Unfortunately there is no "-1 painful truth hurts" moderation.
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